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China: 2050?

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  1. Introduction
  2. The UN works for peace
  3. Pacific battle and destabilization of Europe
  4. USSR and the US
  5. Conclusion

In 2050, China will be a developed country according to the report of Goldman Sachs of 2003. We treat five thematic sections to analyze the scenario of an optimistic China. These parameters are: politics and international relations, economics, demographics, regions and society. Our starting point is that in 2050 China will replace the United States in terms of world power. For China, to be in that position in 2050, it will need to undergo many changes in all the areas mentioned above.

Currently, the Chinese policy is increasingly facing the challenges. There is a genuine attempt to reflect society but it is not yet in a situation where the country will produce the policy. By 2050, we focus on democratic developments, particularly with true transparency to establish a rule of law respecting human rights and minority rights.

After an evaluation of the current system problems, we will examine the issues with Hong Kong, Macao, Tibet and Taiwan and how they will be ruled in 2050. We will then discuss international relations with India and Japan, and third world countries, to finally end this part with the development of relations with the European Union (EU), United Nations Organization (UNO) and World Trade Organization (WTO).

The theme deals with economic growth, which is currently 8% which is an extremely high rate. Foreign direct investment (FDI) and trade market will be addressed. For China to be world power in terms of economy it needs to resolve the corruption and banking system today is very poorly managed. In addition, we will see here that the Chinese currency, the yuan, will be the dominant currency and the currency of the world.

Finally, the intrinsic link between the Chinese diaspora and the economy will be analyzed to highlight the importance of their economic power and to see if this continues to weigh as much in 2050.

Regarding demographics, the population is critical because China now has the population with the highest rate of aging of the world. Of course, this is not desirable for a powerful China so we'll see how it will manage this problem by looking at birth rates and fertility rates and life expectancy. A reform of the one-child policy will be advanced here and an assessment of changes in migration patterns to optimize the demographics to support and sustain a super powerful China in 2050.

The regions are not equally developed with the Western and Central Eastern lying behind that is much more advanced. China 2050 will not overcome all the differences to give a perfect equality between the regions. As in all countries there are disparities in development between regions and even within regions, China will do its best to minimize the gaps.

For China to complete this task, consider this part of the reforms of national regions, and the distribution of wealth so that each region can develop their distinctive benefit. The development of territorial networks and infrastructure will be treated here as well.

Chinese company completes this work by looking at the improvement of living standards in 2050 with national reforms of health systems and social security and education. The status of women is already high and will remain minorities will benefit from a status better than right now.

But we'll see a globalization of Eastern ideas, so instead of speaking of a process of Westernization we'll talk a orientalization to see that the Chinese hegemony transcends borders as there is with the domination of the United States today.

Tags: China; economic growth; China in the future; year 2050

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