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Sensitivity analysis of the fertilizer industry

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  1. Introduction to fertilizer industry
  2. The basic understanding of crude oil
    1. What is energy?
    2. World's major sources of energy
    3. What is crude oil?
    4. Types of crude oil
  3. Primary energy consumption in India
  4. An overview of crude oil producing regions
    1. Oil Producing and Exporting Countries (OPEC)
    2. Refining process
    3. Demand and supply sides of crude oil
  5. Factors impacting movement of international crude oil price
  6. Oil reserves in India
  7. The relationships between gold and crude oil
  8. An overview of oil prices in Dollar, Euro, Yen
  9. Fertilizer industry analysis
    1. The fertilizer industry before the 1960s
    2. The fertilizer industry after the 1960s
  10. Nutrient Content of fertilizers
  11. A study of world fertilizer supply and demand
  12. Financial analysis of the fertilizer industry
  13. Tables and analysis
  14. Conclusion
  15. References

Crude Oil is one of the most important sources of energy for a country. The prices of crude oil depend on many factors like Supply restrictions by Oil producing nations, demand for oil, uncertainties like war in the middle east and also the stability of US Dollar, in which crude oil is priced. The price fluctuations of crude oil affect the cost structure of the companies in the whole value chain of the crude oil. Some companies might be highly sensitive to these changes while others can withstand the same. The sensitivity here means the effect of the crude oil price fluctuations on the companies cost structure and in turn on its profitability. This project is about doing the sensitivity analysis of the industry selected, to crude oil price fluctuations. The Industry selected for analysis is ?Fertilizer Industry?.

Objectives:
-The basic understanding of Crude Oil.
-Basic knowledge of the crude oil industry financials for both the world and India.
-The basic understanding of the futures and options contract.
-Study of Fertilizer Industry.
-Financial analysis of fertilizer industry.
-Sensitivity analysis of fertilizer industry to crude oil.

Energy is the ability to do work. Stored energy becomes working energy when we use it. Energy has several forms, some of which are easily convertible and can be changed to another form useful for work.

Oil is the world's predominant energy source, accounting for about 40 percent of primary energy consumption. Coal and natural gas each account for about a quarter of global energy use, followed by hydroelectric, nuclear and renewable sources such as wind and geothermal.

[...] The former Soviet States are major producers of Crude Oil making that political climate a major effect on the supply of oil and its price. Technological advancement and limitations. Advancement of technology accelerates large-scale development of unconventional sources of crude such as tar sands and very heavy oils. Production from some of the Canadian tar sands and Venezuelan heavy oil deposits is already economic and growing. Advancement in technology may lead to new discoveries in terms of oil reserves and the estimated size of many known fields may be increased. [...]


[...] Error of Square the Estimate a Predictors: (Constant), REGR factor score 4 for analysis REGR factor score 3 for analysis REGR factor score 2 for analysis REGR factor score 1 for analysis 1 ANOVA(b) Model Sum of Squares df Mean F Square B Note: As per the Fertilizer Control Order (FCO) 'fertilizer' means any substance used or intended to be used as a fertilizers of the soil and/ or crop and specified in part A of Schedule I and includes a mixture of fertilizers and special mixture of fertilizers. [...]


[...] These countries keep a high profile in the industry due to the fact that they are large net exporters of the commodity. The seven major non-OPEC oil-producing nations are: In Europe : Norway and Russia. In North America : Canada, Mexico and the United States. In the Middle East: Oman and Yemen. Oil Producing and Exporting Countries (OPEC) OPEC is an international Organization of 11 oil-exporting developing nations that co-ordinates and unifies the petroleum policies of its Member Countries. OPEC seeks to ensure the stabilization of oil prices in international oil markets with a view to eliminating harmful and unnecessary fluctuations. [...]

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