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Evaluate the predictability of excess stock returns

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  1. Investors in the modern world are largely after investing in securities that will give them abnormal or excess returns
  2. The issue of the excess returns and the investors is a matter of irrationality

First and foremost, predictability of excess returns in the stock markets is an issue which is affected by not just a factor but many factors in the environment. The issues which daily affects the markets such as politics and economical environments will definitely affect the predictability of stock returns. The companies which are in the stock markets also find it a hard nut to crack regarding the predictability of excess returns. Specifically for this factor pertaining to predictability of excess stock returns, it basically means that the company in question incurred abnormal profits in the course of their business. This is a phenomenon which is supposedly not possible to happen since it is coined in that the stock prices are transparent and they show exactly the performance of a company in the industry in its entirety without leaving anything to chance.

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